Opinion: New mobility - still a revolution or already at the end?
I clearly remember trying out this new DriveNow service early in the last decade: it felt like science fiction suddenly became a reality. The smartphone opened the door to a new dynamic world of mobility – which before had only seen the long, unrelenting battle between cars and public transport (Source).
It all started a few years earlier with the sharing economy concept: sharing things and thereby creating new benefits - for users, service providers, and society. An early driver of this trend in the mobility sector were these new forms of car sharing, which made it possible to rent vehicles easily via smartphone.
With these first options, many people, like me, grew to think that mobility just had to be made smarter and that many real, long-standing traffic and mobility problems could be solved. It seemed clear that our experience with mobility would change completely. At the same time, social pressure grew: the usual way of dealing with cars and traffic chaos was simply no longer acceptable due to ever stricter climate protection regulations and after a loss of trust like "Dieselgate".
That was the big game changer that would change and revolutionize entire industries, and I was there live. My optimism was limitless, and the prospects for the future seemed clear. But towards the end of the decade, things changed.
So it became clear that sand ended up in the gear works and that the awaited future world might not become a reality (so soon). Self-driving cars were absent, although traditional manufacturers and new attackers like Tesla and others widely heralded them as "market-ready" soon. Although car sharing increased, it remained an overseeable niche in mobility. And when it came to networking the offers, there were indeed many "mobility apps" on offer. Still, really integrated solutions for an elegant journey from A to B from a single source remained a dream of the future.Had we been too naïve and hailed a (technology-centric) revolution that might never happen?
Not quite, because despite the disappointments, there were many lasting changes: Automation developed splendidly in niches (e.g., autonomous delivery robots), and the evolutionary development of driver assistance systems to increasingly autonomous vehicles in defined areas continued.
And at the same time, our mobility is much more networked than it was 10-15 years ago. Information about mobility options and offers is now available more and quicker than ten years ago. Sharing and merging information across platforms is now the rule rather than the exception. More and more products are also working together in ticketing. Real-time information is also becoming more and more a matter of course for mobility offers. Together with the tremendous pull effect of sustainable electrification, impressive innovations emerged at many interfaces.
That motivated us, that motivated me. But is this the significant change we've collectively envisioned over the past decade that should bring a better world (for our children and us)? Is the big vision still achievable, and how do we get there?
So what really needs to be done to build a more sustainable, better mobility? In my opinion, it is not enough to focus on technologies and innovations or to think about the market maturity of services that may have been launched too early. Because, at its core, it is primarily about people and their most important basic needs. In mobility, I suggest focusing on 3 of these needs:
To enable new mobility on a broad basis, I think it is essential to focus on these three basic needs and to specify them for application-related use with the right groups of people. From my own experience, I see families and seniors as particularly critical for a mobility revolution's success because they are often involuntarily forced into an automotive reality without really feeling comfortable in it. And they often have the financial clout to pay for new products and services.
In addition, a discussion about how we can create an attractive, safe environment with more comfort, especially in shared mobility, is inevitable. In this context, we should seek more discussion about mobility as a third place; visionary projects such as the Deutsche Bahn Ideas Train (as shown in the picture, photo credits dpa) point in the right direction.
Public transport has a long history of making traveling in shared vehicles accessible and increasingly enjoyable. However, these findings must now be transferred to all modes of transport, our cities, and communities. From my point of view, the lack of success in sharing concepts can be explained by the focus on travel optimization and financial incentives instead of security, comfort, and status. However, the entire mobility change will not be successful without effective and flourishing sharing concepts.
We need consistent advances in improving our lives: what should our cities and settlements look like, how do we want to travel, and how do we want to live better?
Originally, this article was published in 4 parts on LinkedIn by Stefan Schulz.
As part of this article, the 4 parts have been summarized while emphasizing Stefan's opinion on mobilty predictions.
If you want to read the original articles, here are the links:
